Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4598 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4598 · LAS → OKC

departs 4:37 PM PT · arrives 8:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

OKC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4598 · LAS → OKC

Odds over time