Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4632
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 4632 · LAS → LBB
departs 1:05 PM PT · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at LBB that day
↑
1pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
LBB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.