Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4681 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:45 PM PT, ETA 4:22 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4681 · LAS → SNA

took off 3:45 PM PT · expected to land 4:22 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

SNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4681 · LAS → SNA

Odds over time