Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4775 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:44 PM MT, ETA 7:31 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4775 · PHX → IND

took off 1:44 PM MT · expected to land 7:31 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

IND (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4775 · PHX → IND

Odds over time