Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 484 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 484 · DEN → OKC

departs 4:13 PM MT · arrives 6:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 484 · DEN → OKC

Odds over time