Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4901 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4901 · BWI → MCI

departs 6:49 PM ET · arrives 8:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4901 · BWI → MCI

Odds over time