WN 550 · PHX → LGB

departs 6:59 PM MT · arrives 8:38 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

LGB (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 550 · PHX → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?