Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 878 LANDED 9:17 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 878 · BWI → BDL

took off 8:24 PM ET · landed 9:17 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility8.5 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 878 · BWI → BDL

Odds over time