Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6247 LANDED 10:31 AM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

YV 6247 · PNS → IAH

took off 9:11 AM CT · landed 10:31 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ YV's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IAH that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6247 · PNS → IAH

Odds over time