tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4799 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4799 · CMH → LGA

departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 8:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.