YX 5594 · BOS → MEM

departs 9:15 PM ET · arrives 11:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

MEM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5594 · BOS → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?