Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5619 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:24 PM ET, ETA 5:21 PM CT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

YX 5619 · BOS → MKE

took off 4:24 PM ET · expected to land 5:21 PM CT (scheduled 4:25 PM ET → 6:17 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

MKE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5619 · BOS → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?