YX 5676 · BOS → RIC

took off 10:03 PM ET · landed 11:21 PM ET (scheduled 9:30 PM ET → 11:32 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ 9pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

RIC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility6.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5676 · BOS → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?