Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5238 LANDED 5:57 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

9E 5238 · ATL → AVL

took off 5:22 PM ET · landed 5:57 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

No weather details for this flight yet.

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5238 · ATL → AVL

Odds over time