9E 5341 · DTW → IND

departs 5:36 PM ET · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

IND (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5341 · DTW → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?