Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 102 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

AA 102 · HNL → DFW

departs 6:36 PM HT · arrives 7:00 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
26%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.30 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 102 · HNL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?