tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1405 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AA 1405 · AUS → JFK

took off 5:13 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:04 PM CT → 10:05 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.