AA 1445 · DFW → STL

departs 9:45 PM CT · arrives 11:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
20%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

STL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1445 · DFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?