tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1529 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

AA 1529 · PHL → LAS

took off 4:44 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:26 PM ET → 6:52 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.