AA 1552 · COS → DFW

departs 10:19 AM MT · arrives 1:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 10am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.88 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1552 · COS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?