Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1590 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 1590 · CLE → DFW

departs 6:47 AM ET · arrives 8:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1590 · CLE → DFW

Odds over time