Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 161 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:24 AM EEST, ETA 2:04 PM CT)
Today

AA 161 · ATH → ORD

took off 11:24 AM EEST · expected to land 2:04 PM CT (scheduled 10:39 AM EEST → 1:35 PM CT)
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    <1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    86%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.