AA 1675 · MSY → LGA

took off 6:27 PM CT · expected to land 10:06 PM ET (scheduled 5:30 PM CT → 9:41 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
58%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1675 · MSY → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?