Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1741SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1741 · RNO → PHX
departs 6:01 AM PT · arrives 7:44 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.