Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1855 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AA 1855 · PHX → SBA

took off 5:59 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:06 PM MT → 6:54 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SBA?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.