AA 1959 · STL → DFW

took off 8:39 AM CT · landed 9:59 AM CT (scheduled 8:19 AM CT → 10:12 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1959 · STL → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?