tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1984 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

AA 1984 · PHL → PHX

took off 7:43 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:29 PM ET → 9:31 PM MT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    24%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.