Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2004SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 2004 · LAS → PHX
departs 9:56 AM PT · arrives 11:08 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±0 pts+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.