tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 205 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 205 · LAX → OGG

departs 6:45 PM PT · arrives 9:24 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OGG?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.