AA 2089 · FLL → PHL

departs 7:03 AM ET · arrives 9:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.34 in

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2089 · FLL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?