AA 2113 · SFO → ORD

departs 10:34 PM PT · arrives 4:52 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2113 · SFO → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?