AA 2163 · BDL → ORD

departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2163 · BDL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?