Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 217 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

AA 217 · GSO → BHM

departs 1:40 AM ET · arrives 2:24 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 217 · GSO → BHM

Odds over time