Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2235 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

AA 2235 · DFW → DEN

took off 7:14 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:30 PM CT → 7:41 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2235 · DFW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?