AA 2540 · OMA → DFW

took off 6:40 AM CT · landed 8:05 AM CT (scheduled 5:20 AM CT → 7:20 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from OMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.57 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2540 · OMA → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?