Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2572 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 2572 · SJC → DFW

departs 11:47 AM PT · arrives 5:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±3 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2572 · SJC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?