AA 2669 · BWI → DFW

departs 3:48 PM ET · arrives 5:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2669 · BWI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?