Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 286SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 286 · LIH → LAX
departs 10:25 PM HT · arrives 7:04 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±0 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.