tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3245 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

AA 3245 · PHL → SAN

took off 6:15 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:06 PM ET → 9:03 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    28%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.