AA 3333 · DFW → STL

departs 7:22 AM CT · arrives 9:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.09 in

STL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3333 · DFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?