Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 391 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 391 · DFW → ALB

departs 6:38 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

ALB (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 391 · DFW → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?