AA 43 · CDG → JFK

took off 12:28 PM CEST · expected to land 1:27 PM ET (scheduled 12:26 PM CEST → 2:35 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 43 · CDG → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?