tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 475 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

AA 475 · PHX → JFK

took off 1:10 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 12:49 PM MT → 8:29 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.