tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 480 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AA 480 · PHX → SAN

took off 5:12 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:56 PM MT → 6:23 PM PT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.