Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 603 LANDED 5:16 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 603 · PHX → MCO

took off 10:29 AM MT · landed 5:16 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 603 · PHX → MCO

Odds over time