AA 782 · COS → DFW

took off 8:18 AM MT · landed 10:36 AM CT (scheduled 8:01 AM MT → 10:56 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 782 · COS → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?