AA 802 · ORD → BOS

took off 9:22 AM CT · expected to land 12:14 PM ET (scheduled 9:08 AM CT → 12:51 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.77 in

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 802 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?