AA 935 · ORD → AUS

departs 9:16 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.86 in

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 935 · ORD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?