tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 936 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 936 · MDT → ORD

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
63% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    36%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    18%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    14%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.