AA 981 · PHL → CLE

departs 9:48 PM ET · arrives 11:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 981 · PHL → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?